Serie B · 2025/26
2026-05-01 · 14:00
12.7832.9%
X3.0629.9%
22.4637.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bari
DLLDLWWLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Virtus Entella
LDLDLLWLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.40
1.60
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.00
1.80
2H goals
0.80
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
3.50N=10
6.20
Against
4.50
10.70
Total
8.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.40
1.60
Goals conceded
1.40
2.70
Total goals
1.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Bari attack

1.10goals per match
Virtus Entella conceded1.40
Matchup

Virtus Entella attack

0.40goals per match
Bari conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.20
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
6.20
Corners against
4.50
10.70
Match total
8.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.80
Match total
3.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
16.40N=10
28.50
Match total
30.70

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
3.60
On target
2.60
10%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches866
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.9%31.6%-1.3 pp
Draw29.9%30.4%+0.5 pp
Away37.2%38.0%+0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.523.8%
BTTS53.1%

Historical average

1.141.28

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.6%
0-112.1%
0-010.4%
1-08.8%
2-18.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.814.82
Average total9.63

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=866.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.0%
Over 9.549.3%
Over 10.537.4%
Over 11.528.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches295
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.8%23.0%–33.2% CI
Draw FT44.1%38.5%–49.8% CI
Away FT28.1%23.3%–33.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.5%
2+ goals33.2%
3+ goals13.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.7%
Away48.1%