Serie B · 2025/26
2026-04-12 · 14:00
13.0829.8%
X3.1329.3%
22.2540.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Padova
DDWLLWDDLL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Empoli
LWWLLDLLDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.00
1.30
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
4.60N=10
For
3.70N=10
5.80
Against
6.00
10.40
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded
1.70
2.40
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Padova attack
1.10goals per matchEmpoli conceded1.70Matchup
Empoli attack
1.00goals per matchPadova conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
5.80
Corners against
6.00
10.40
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.60
Match total
4.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.30N=10
Committed
16.30N=10
28.50
Match total
29.50
Shots
13.50N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
3.40
On target
3.40
8%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches823
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.8%28.4%-1.4 pp
Draw29.3%24.5%-4.8 pp
Away40.8%47.0%+6.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.523.6%
BTTS50.1%
Historical average
1.08–1.46
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-112.5%
1-112.3%
1-210.3%
1-09.4%
0-28.1%
Comparable corner averages
4.66–5.10
Average total9.77
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=823.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.8%
Over 9.551.2%
Over 10.539.6%
Over 11.527.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches258
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT29.8%24.6%–35.7% CI
Draw FT32.9%27.5%–38.9% CI
Away FT37.2%31.5%–43.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.42
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.7%
2+ goals41.5%
3+ goals17.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home48.1%
Away54.7%