Serie B · 2025/26
2026-04-12 · 14:00
13.0829.8%
X3.1329.3%
22.2540.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Padova
DDWLLWDDLL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Empoli
LWWLLDLLDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.00
1.30
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
3.70N=10
5.80
Against
6.00
10.40
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded
1.70
2.40
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Padova attack

1.10goals per match
Empoli conceded1.70
Matchup

Empoli attack

1.00goals per match
Padova conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
5.80
Corners against
6.00
10.40
Match total
9.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.60
Match total
4.70
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.30N=10
Committed
16.30N=10
28.50
Match total
29.50

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
3.40
On target
3.40
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches823
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.8%28.4%-1.4 pp
Draw29.3%24.5%-4.8 pp
Away40.8%47.0%+6.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.523.6%
BTTS50.1%

Historical average

1.081.46

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-112.5%
1-112.3%
1-210.3%
1-09.4%
0-28.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.665.10
Average total9.77

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=823.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.8%
Over 9.551.2%
Over 10.539.6%
Over 11.527.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches258
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT29.8%24.6%–35.7% CI
Draw FT32.9%27.5%–38.9% CI
Away FT37.2%31.5%–43.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.42

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.7%
2+ goals41.5%
3+ goals17.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.1%
Away54.7%