Serie B · 2025/26
2026-04-11 · 18:30
11.3369.2%
X4.6919.6%
28.2711.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Monza
WDWDWWWWWD
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Bari
LDDLWLDWLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
0.70
0.70
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.00
1.80
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.00
Against
7.60
11.40
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
0.70
0.70
Goals conceded
1.60
2.80
Total goals
2.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Monza attack

2.10goals per match
Bari conceded1.60
Matchup

Bari attack

0.70goals per match
Monza conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
2.40N=10
5.00
Corners against
7.60
11.40
Match total
10.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.40
Match total
5.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
25.30
Match total
29.20

Shots

15.90N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
5.40
On target
2.90
13%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches154
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.2%74.0%+4.8 pp
Draw19.6%18.8%-0.8 pp
Away11.1%7.1%-4.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.563.0%
Over 3.537.7%
BTTS53.9%

Historical average

2.340.81

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-016.2%
2-113.6%
1-09.7%
3-07.8%
2-27.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.942.97
Average total9.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=154.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.0%
Over 9.552.6%
Over 10.537.7%
Over 11.527.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches34
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT67.6%50.8%–80.9% CI
Draw FT26.5%14.6%–43.1% CI
Away FT5.9%1.6%–19.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.74

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.3%
2+ goals52.9%
3+ goals23.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home82.4%
Away29.4%