Serie B · 2025/26
2026-04-06 · 18:30
11.9846.3%
X3.1129.5%
23.7924.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Carrarese
DWDWWDLDLW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Spezia
WLLLLDWDLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.90
0.60
Conceded
1.60
30%
Over 2.5
60%
20%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.50
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
5.90N=10
4.60
Against
5.20
9.80
Total
11.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
0.60
Goals conceded
1.60
1.80
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Carrarese attack
1.20goals per matchSpezia conceded1.60Matchup
Spezia attack
0.90goals per matchCarrarese conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.20
9.80
Match total
11.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.50
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.60N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
27.80
Match total
28.40
Shots
13.80N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
4.60
On target
4.30
9%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches381
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.3%47.2%+0.9 pp
Draw29.5%27.6%-1.9 pp
Away24.2%25.2%+1.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.543.3%
Over 3.522.3%
BTTS50.4%
Historical average
1.46–0.97
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.6%
1-011.0%
2-010.5%
0-19.7%
2-19.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.40–4.32
Average total9.72
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=381.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.4%
Over 9.549.6%
Over 10.538.3%
Over 11.529.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches130
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.8%26.3%–42.3% CI
Draw FT43.1%34.9%–51.7% CI
Away FT23.1%16.7%–31.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.29
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.1%
2+ goals37.7%
3+ goals13.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.1%
Away44.6%