Serie B · 2025/26
2026-04-06 · 18:30
11.9846.3%
X3.1129.5%
23.7924.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Carrarese
DWDWWDLDLW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Spezia
WLLLLDWDLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.90
0.60
Conceded
1.60
30%
Over 2.5
60%
20%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.50
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
5.90N=10
4.60
Against
5.20
9.80
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
0.60
Goals conceded
1.60
1.80
Total goals
2.50
40%4/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Carrarese attack

1.20goals per match
Spezia conceded1.60
Matchup

Spezia attack

0.90goals per match
Carrarese conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
30%3/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.20
9.80
Match total
11.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.50
Match total
3.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
27.80
Match total
28.40

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
4.60
On target
4.30
9%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches381
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.3%47.2%+0.9 pp
Draw29.5%27.6%-1.9 pp
Away24.2%25.2%+1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.543.3%
Over 3.522.3%
BTTS50.4%

Historical average

1.460.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.6%
1-011.0%
2-010.5%
0-19.7%
2-19.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.404.32
Average total9.72

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=381.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.4%
Over 9.549.6%
Over 10.538.3%
Over 11.529.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches130
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.8%26.3%–42.3% CI
Draw FT43.1%34.9%–51.7% CI
Away FT23.1%16.7%–31.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.1%
2+ goals37.7%
3+ goals13.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.1%
Away44.6%