Serie B · 2025/26
2026-04-06 · 16:15
12.2141.5%
X3.1329.3%
23.1429.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sampdoria
WWWDWDWLDW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Empoli
WLWWLLDLLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.30
1.00
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
6.40N=10
For
3.70N=10
3.80
Against
5.90
10.20
Total
9.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.30
1.00
Goals conceded
1.60
2.40
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sampdoria attack
1.40goals per matchEmpoli conceded1.60Matchup
Empoli attack
1.30goals per matchSampdoria conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.90
10.20
Match total
9.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.00N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.90
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.40N=10
Committed
16.10N=10
37.30
Match total
29.10
Shots
12.90N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
3.90
On target
3.80
11%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,496
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.5%42.1%+0.6 pp
Draw29.3%32.2%+2.9 pp
Away29.2%25.7%-3.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.523.2%
BTTS50.3%
Historical average
1.35–1.04
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.4%
1-012.0%
0-010.2%
2-19.0%
0-18.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.15–4.37
Average total9.53
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,495.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.3%
Over 9.548.8%
Over 10.536.1%
Over 11.525.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches521
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT31.5%27.6%–35.6% CI
Draw FT44.0%39.8%–48.2% CI
Away FT24.6%21.1%–28.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.24
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.6%
2+ goals36.7%
3+ goals12.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.7%
Away43.6%