Serie B · 2025/26
2026-04-06 · 14:00
14.0922.4%
X3.3127.6%
21.8350.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bari
DLDLLDLWWL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Modena
LDLWLWDWWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.10
1.50
Conceded
0.90
60%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
0.70
80%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
7.30N=10
6.20
Against
4.90
11.10
Total
12.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.10
1.50
Goals conceded
0.90
2.50
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bari attack
1.00goals per matchModena conceded0.90Matchup
Modena attack
1.10goals per matchBari conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
7.30N=10
6.20
Corners against
4.90
11.10
Match total
12.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.60
Match total
4.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.20N=10
Committed
16.00N=10
29.50
Match total
30.20
Shots
11.40N=10
Shots
18.50N=10
3.40
On target
5.40
9%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches283
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.4%25.1%+2.7 pp
Draw27.6%22.6%-5.0 pp
Away50.0%52.3%+2.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.543.5%
Over 3.522.3%
BTTS42.4%
Historical average
0.90–1.52
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-013.1%
0-112.4%
1-110.6%
1-210.2%
0-29.9%
Comparable corner averages
4.28–5.60
Average total9.89
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=283.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.550.9%
Over 10.537.8%
Over 11.529.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches90
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.8%19.6%–37.8% CI
Draw FT36.7%27.4%–47.0% CI
Away FT35.6%26.4%–45.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.16
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.4%
2+ goals30.0%
3+ goals10.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home43.3%
Away47.8%