Serie B · 2025/26
2026-04-05 · 16:15
11.5061.1%
X4.2221.7%
25.3317.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Frosinone
DWWWWLDDWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Padova
LWWLLDLWLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
0.90
1.00
Conceded
1.50
80%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.10
1H goals
0.90
1.90
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
7.10N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.30
Against
6.20
10.40
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.90
1.00
Goals conceded
1.50
3.00
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Frosinone attack
2.00goals per matchPadova conceded1.50Matchup
Padova attack
0.90goals per matchFrosinone conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.30
Corners against
6.20
10.40
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.60
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.20N=10
Committed
15.20N=10
28.00
Match total
27.70
Shots
19.80N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
7.30
On target
3.50
10%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches227
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.1%63.0%+1.9 pp
Draw21.7%18.1%-3.7 pp
Away17.2%18.9%+1.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.559.9%
Over 3.537.4%
BTTS52.0%
Historical average
2.06–0.96
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-011.9%
2-110.6%
1-18.8%
2-07.9%
4-07.5%
Comparable corner averages
6.12–4.00
Average total10.12
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=227.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.7%
Over 9.557.3%
Over 10.545.4%
Over 11.534.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches57
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.4%41.6%–66.6% CI
Draw FT33.3%22.5%–46.3% CI
Away FT12.3%6.1%–23.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.47
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.2%
2+ goals43.9%
3+ goals15.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home71.9%
Away38.6%