Serie B · 2025/26
2026-03-22 · 14:00
12.8332.5%
X2.9531.2%
22.5336.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bari
LDLDLLDLWW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Carrarese
DLLLWLLLDD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.90
1.50
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.50
1.50
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
6.30N=10
6.50
Against
4.60
10.60
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
1.50
Goals conceded
2.10
2.70
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Bari attack

1.20goals per match
Carrarese conceded2.10
Matchup

Carrarese attack

0.90goals per match
Bari conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
6.30N=10
6.50
Corners against
4.60
10.60
Match total
10.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.90
Match total
5.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.40N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
30.60
Match total
28.20

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
3.50
On target
3.70
11%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches290
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.5%30.0%-2.5 pp
Draw31.2%31.0%-0.1 pp
Away36.3%39.0%+2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.521.7%
BTTS54.5%

Historical average

1.121.31

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.8%
0-112.4%
2-19.7%
1-29.7%
0-09.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.764.79
Average total9.55

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=290.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.548.3%
Over 10.536.2%
Over 11.527.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches95
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.5%21.2%–39.3% CI
Draw FT40.0%30.7%–50.1% CI
Away FT30.5%22.2%–40.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.35

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.6%
2+ goals41.1%
3+ goals16.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.4%
Away50.5%