Serie B · 2025/26
2026-03-21 · 14:00
14.3521.0%
X3.4326.7%
21.7552.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Padova
LDDWLLWDDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Palermo
DWDDDWDLWL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.50
1.40
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.80
1.30
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
5.60N=10
6.00
Against
5.00
10.50
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.50
1.40
Goals conceded
1.30
2.50
Total goals
2.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Padova attack

1.10goals per match
Palermo conceded1.30
Matchup

Palermo attack

1.50goals per match
Padova conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
6.00
Corners against
5.00
10.50
Match total
10.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.90
Match total
5.00
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.80N=10
Committed
15.10N=10
29.40
Match total
27.90

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
14.80N=10
3.90
On target
3.90
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches190
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.0%22.1%+1.1 pp
Draw26.7%24.2%-2.5 pp
Away52.3%53.7%+1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.518.4%
BTTS44.2%

Historical average

0.841.48

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-114.7%
0-213.7%
1-112.1%
1-08.9%
1-28.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.155.54
Average total9.69

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=190.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.6%
Over 9.548.4%
Over 10.536.8%
Over 11.528.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches60
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.3%18.5%–40.8% CI
Draw FT36.7%25.6%–49.3% CI
Away FT35.0%24.2%–47.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.15

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.7%
2+ goals28.3%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.7%
Away46.7%