Serie B · 2025/26
2026-03-18 · 18:00
11.4563.2%
X4.3021.3%
25.9415.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Frosinone
WDWWWWLDDW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Bari
DLDDLWLDWL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
2.20
Scored
0.70
0.90
Conceded
1.50
80%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.00
2.10
2H goals
1.20
100%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
7.00N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.50
Against
6.90
10.50
Total
10.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
0.70
0.90
Goals conceded
1.50
3.10
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Frosinone attack
2.20goals per matchBari conceded1.50Matchup
Bari attack
0.70goals per matchFrosinone conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.50
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.50
Corners against
6.90
10.50
Match total
10.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.20
Match total
5.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.00N=10
Committed
15.50N=10
28.80
Match total
29.80
Shots
19.20N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
7.20
On target
2.70
11%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches105
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.2%64.8%+1.5 pp
Draw21.3%20.0%-1.3 pp
Away15.4%15.2%-0.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.561.0%
Over 3.535.2%
BTTS51.4%
Historical average
2.12–0.88
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-114.3%
1-08.6%
3-08.6%
1-17.6%
0-07.6%
Comparable corner averages
7.07–3.12
Average total10.19
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=105.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.8%
Over 9.555.2%
Over 10.543.8%
Over 11.534.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.9%26.5%–60.9% CI
Draw FT42.9%26.5%–60.9% CI
Away FT14.3%5.7%–31.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.25
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals35.7%
3+ goals10.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home60.7%
Away35.7%