Serie B · 2025/26
2026-03-17 · 19:00
12.5436.2%
X2.7833.0%
22.9830.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spezia
DDWLWWDLLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Empoli
LWLWWLLDLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.20
1.10
Conceded
1.60
20%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.20
0.70
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
3.80N=10
6.80
Against
6.30
11.10
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded
1.60
2.20
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Spezia attack

1.10goals per match
Empoli conceded1.60
Matchup

Empoli attack

1.20goals per match
Spezia conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
6.80
Corners against
6.30
11.10
Match total
10.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.40N=10
6.20
Match total
4.60
100%10/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.20N=10
Committed
15.60N=10
30.60
Match total
28.00

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
4.00
On target
3.60
9%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches53
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.2%30.2%-6.0 pp
Draw33.0%32.1%-1.0 pp
Away30.8%37.7%+6.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.515.1%
BTTS47.2%

Historical average

1.091.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.9%
0-115.1%
0-011.3%
1-011.3%
1-29.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.604.09
Average total8.70

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=53.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.547.2%
Over 9.537.7%
Over 10.528.3%
Over 11.524.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches26
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.1%11.0%–42.1% CI
Draw FT46.2%28.8%–64.5% CI
Away FT30.8%16.5%–50.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.42

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals42.3%
3+ goals15.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.7%
Away53.8%