Serie B · 2025/26
2026-03-14 · 14:00
12.8731.9%
X3.0629.9%
22.4038.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Padova
DLDDWLLWDD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Catanzaro
WLWWLLLWWD
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.70
1.20
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.30
1.10
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
3.50N=10
6.20
Against
4.70
10.50
Total
8.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.70
1.20
Goals conceded
1.50
2.30
Total goals
3.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Padova attack

1.10goals per match
Catanzaro conceded1.50
Matchup

Catanzaro attack

1.70goals per match
Padova conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
6.20
Corners against
4.70
10.50
Match total
8.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.30
Match total
4.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.20N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
29.10
Match total
31.00

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
4.00
On target
4.30
8%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches552
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.9%32.6%+0.7 pp
Draw29.9%27.4%-2.6 pp
Away38.2%40.0%+1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.522.3%
BTTS49.8%

Historical average

1.131.31

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.0%
1-011.1%
0-110.9%
0-28.7%
1-28.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.695.10
Average total9.80

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=552.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.6%
Over 9.551.3%
Over 10.539.5%
Over 11.527.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches182
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT33.5%27.1%–40.7% CI
Draw FT34.6%28.1%–41.8% CI
Away FT31.9%25.5%–39.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.42

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.1%
2+ goals43.4%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.6%
Away50.0%