Serie B · 2025/26
2026-03-07 · 14:00
12.1443.0%
X2.9231.5%
23.6125.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Avellino
WLDDWLWLLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Padova
WDLWWLLDLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.00
1.70
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.00
1.70
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.20
Against
5.50
9.40
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.00
1.70
Goals conceded
1.20
3.10
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Avellino attack

1.40goals per match
Padova conceded1.20
Matchup

Padova attack

1.00goals per match
Avellino conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.50
9.40
Match total
9.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.10
Match total
5.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.20N=10
Committed
15.70N=10
31.60
Match total
29.30

Shots

10.40N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
4.30
On target
3.80
13%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches278
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.0%46.4%+3.4 pp
Draw31.5%32.0%+0.5 pp
Away25.5%21.6%-3.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.520.1%
BTTS50.4%

Historical average

1.400.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.3%
1-013.3%
2-011.2%
0-09.4%
2-17.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.304.29
Average total9.59

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=278.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.6%
Over 9.545.7%
Over 10.535.3%
Over 11.525.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches88
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%27.1%–46.8% CI
Draw FT50.0%39.8%–60.2% CI
Away FT13.6%8.0%–22.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.5%
2+ goals39.8%
3+ goals5.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.8%
Away37.5%