Serie B · 2024/25
2025-05-13 · 19:30
12.9631.6%
X3.2828.5%
22.3539.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sudtirol
DLDWWDDDWW
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Bari
LDDLWDLDLL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.90
1.10
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
5.80N=10
5.40
Against
4.20
10.40
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded
1.50
2.70
Total goals
2.40
100%10/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Sudtirol attack

1.60goals per match
Bari conceded1.50
Matchup

Bari attack

0.90goals per match
Sudtirol conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
5.40
Corners against
4.20
10.40
Match total
10.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.00
Match total
5.00
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

16.70N=10
Committed
16.20N=10
33.10
Match total
28.80

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
4.30
On target
3.80
13%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches653
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.6%32.2%+0.5 pp
Draw28.5%22.7%-5.9 pp
Away39.8%45.2%+5.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.525.3%
BTTS51.5%

Historical average

1.161.45

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.6%
0-111.6%
1-29.5%
1-09.0%
0-27.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.785.27
Average total10.04

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=653.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.6%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.542.1%
Over 11.531.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches200
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.5%28.3%–41.3% CI
Draw FT33.0%26.9%–39.8% CI
Away FT32.5%26.4%–39.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals16.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.0%
Away50.5%