Serie B · 2024/25
2025-05-13 · 19:30
12.9631.6%
X3.2828.5%
22.3539.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sudtirol
DLDWWDDDWW
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Bari
LDDLWDLDLL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
0.90
1.10
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
5.80N=10
5.40
Against
4.20
10.40
Total
10.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded
1.50
2.70
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sudtirol attack
1.60goals per matchBari conceded1.50Matchup
Bari attack
0.90goals per matchSudtirol conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
5.40
Corners against
4.20
10.40
Match total
10.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.00
Match total
5.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.70N=10
Committed
16.20N=10
33.10
Match total
28.80
Shots
12.60N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
4.30
On target
3.80
13%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches653
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.6%32.2%+0.5 pp
Draw28.5%22.7%-5.9 pp
Away39.8%45.2%+5.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.525.3%
BTTS51.5%
Historical average
1.16–1.45
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-111.6%
0-111.6%
1-29.5%
1-09.0%
0-27.5%
Comparable corner averages
4.78–5.27
Average total10.04
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=653.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.6%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.542.1%
Over 11.531.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches200
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.5%28.3%–41.3% CI
Draw FT33.0%26.9%–39.8% CI
Away FT32.5%26.4%–39.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.43
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal79.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals16.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.0%
Away50.5%