Serie B · 2024/25
2025-05-09 · 19:30
12.2441.8%
X3.3627.9%
23.0930.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Spezia
WDDWDLWLWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Cremonese
WDWWLDDWWD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.60
0.90
Conceded
0.70
40%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.20
1H goals
0.80
1.50
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
7.20N=10
For
5.60N=10
3.00
Against
2.10
10.20
Total
7.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.60
0.90
Goals conceded
0.70
2.70
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Spezia attack
1.80goals per matchCremonese conceded0.70Matchup
Cremonese attack
1.60goals per matchSpezia conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
1.10
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
3.00
Corners against
2.10
10.20
Match total
7.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.50
Match total
5.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
18.50N=10
Committed
17.80N=10
37.00
Match total
31.50
Shots
19.70N=10
Shots
14.40N=10
6.00
On target
4.80
9%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches592
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.8%40.4%-1.4 pp
Draw27.9%27.5%-0.3 pp
Away30.3%32.1%+1.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.554.6%
Over 3.530.6%
BTTS57.9%
Historical average
1.46–1.30
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.3%
1-010.3%
1-29.5%
2-19.1%
2-27.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.48–4.62
Average total10.10
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=591.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.2%
Over 9.554.1%
Over 10.542.1%
Over 11.531.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches149
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.6%32.1%–47.6% CI
Draw FT34.2%27.1%–42.2% CI
Away FT26.2%19.8%–33.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.46
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.2%
2+ goals38.3%
3+ goals21.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home59.7%
Away43.6%