Serie B · 2024/25
2025-05-09 · 19:30
12.3140.6%
X2.8932.5%
23.4826.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Modena
DWDDWDDWLL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Brescia
DDDWLLLWDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
30%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
0.80
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
4.20N=10
3.30
Against
6.60
7.30
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
1.00
2.50
Total goals
1.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Modena attack

1.30goals per match
Brescia conceded1.00
Matchup

Brescia attack

0.90goals per match
Modena conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
3.30
Corners against
6.60
7.30
Match total
10.80
30%3/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.10
Match total
5.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
15.00N=10
25.00
Match total
30.10

Shots

11.10N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
3.90
On target
3.40
12%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches179
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.6%48.0%+7.4 pp
Draw32.5%24.6%-7.9 pp
Away26.9%27.4%+0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.540.8%
Over 3.520.7%
BTTS49.2%

Historical average

1.381.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-019.0%
1-113.4%
2-012.3%
1-210.1%
2-17.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.894.22
Average total9.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=179.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.2%
Over 9.544.1%
Over 10.531.8%
Over 11.521.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches65
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.8%38.9%–62.5% CI
Draw FT29.2%19.6%–41.2% CI
Away FT20.0%12.1%–31.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.58

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.5%
2+ goals43.1%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.2%
Away41.5%