Serie B · 2024/25
2025-05-09 · 19:30
12.6635.2%
X3.1529.7%
22.6635.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cittadella
DWWLLLLLDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Bari
LLDDLWDLDL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
0.80
1.60
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.90
1.70
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.70N=10
For
5.90N=10
3.10
Against
4.50
6.80
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.80
1.60
Goals conceded
1.40
2.40
Total goals
2.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Cittadella attack

0.80goals per match
Bari conceded1.40
Matchup

Bari attack

0.80goals per match
Cittadella conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
3.10
Corners against
4.50
6.80
Match total
10.40
10%1/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
0%0/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.10
Match total
5.00
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

18.10N=10
Committed
16.30N=10
31.90
Match total
28.30

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
2.80
On target
3.70
7%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,119
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.2%31.5%-3.7 pp
Draw29.7%32.4%+2.8 pp
Away35.2%36.1%+0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.544.5%
Over 3.521.7%
BTTS52.8%

Historical average

1.141.25

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.5%
0-110.8%
0-09.8%
2-19.2%
1-08.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.994.85
Average total9.85

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,118.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.551.5%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.528.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches372
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT26.3%22.1%–31.0% CI
Draw FT42.7%37.8%–47.8% CI
Away FT30.9%26.4%–35.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.4%
2+ goals35.5%
3+ goals13.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.5%
Away50.3%