Serie B · 2024/25
2025-05-04 · 18:30
12.5836.3%
X3.0730.5%
22.8333.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Cremonese
DDWDWLWDDW
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Sassuolo
WLWLWDWLWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Goals
2.20
Scored
1.90
1.30
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
80%
90%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.50
2.20
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
7.20N=10
For
3.50N=10
2.90
Against
4.50
10.10
Total
8.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongBoth teams scored
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.90
1.30
Goals conceded
1.40
3.50
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Cremonese attack
2.20goals per matchSassuolo conceded1.40Matchup
Sassuolo attack
1.90goals per matchCremonese conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.60
2H goals scored
1.10
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
2.90
Corners against
4.50
10.10
Match total
8.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.10
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
17.10N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
32.00
Match total
26.60
Shots
20.00N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
6.60
On target
5.10
11%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches35
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.3%45.7%+9.4 pp
Draw30.5%20.0%-10.5 pp
Away33.1%34.3%+1.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.534.3%
BTTS60.0%
Historical average
1.37–1.26
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-017.1%
3-114.3%
1-111.4%
1-211.4%
0-18.6%
Comparable corner averages
4.74–3.66
Average total8.40
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=35.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.548.6%
Over 9.537.1%
Over 10.531.4%
Over 11.522.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches42
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.1%25.0%–53.2% CI
Draw FT45.2%31.2%–60.1% CI
Away FT16.7%8.3%–30.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.19
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals35.7%
3+ goals9.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home57.1%
Away40.5%