Serie B · 2024/25
2025-05-04 · 18:30
12.5836.3%
X3.0730.5%
22.8333.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cremonese
DDWDWLWDDW
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Sassuolo
WLWLWDWLWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.90
1.30
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
80%
90%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.50
2.20
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.20N=10
For
3.50N=10
2.90
Against
4.50
10.10
Total
8.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.90
1.30
Goals conceded
1.40
3.50
Total goals
3.30
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
90%9/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Cremonese attack

2.20goals per match
Sassuolo conceded1.40
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

1.90goals per match
Cremonese conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.60
2H goals scored
1.10
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
2.90
Corners against
4.50
10.10
Match total
8.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.10
Match total
4.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

17.10N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
32.00
Match total
26.60

Shots

20.00N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
6.60
On target
5.10
11%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches35
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.3%45.7%+9.4 pp
Draw30.5%20.0%-10.5 pp
Away33.1%34.3%+1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.534.3%
BTTS60.0%

Historical average

1.371.26

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-017.1%
3-114.3%
1-111.4%
1-211.4%
0-18.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.743.66
Average total8.40

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=35.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.548.6%
Over 9.537.1%
Over 10.531.4%
Over 11.522.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches42
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.1%25.0%–53.2% CI
Draw FT45.2%31.2%–60.1% CI
Away FT16.7%8.3%–30.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals35.7%
3+ goals9.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.1%
Away40.5%