Serie B · 2024/25
2025-05-04 · 14:00
12.4438.3%
X3.1230.0%
22.9531.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cesena
WLDDDWDLDL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Palermo
LLLLDWDWLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.50
0.90
Conceded
1.40
20%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.50
1.10
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.50
Against
6.00
9.50
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.50
0.90
Goals conceded
1.40
1.70
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Cesena attack

0.80goals per match
Palermo conceded1.40
Matchup

Palermo attack

1.50goals per match
Cesena conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
1.00
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.50
Corners against
6.00
9.50
Match total
10.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.10
Match total
4.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.30N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
28.30
Match total
26.40

Shots

10.20N=10
Shots
12.90N=10
2.70
On target
3.90
8%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches679
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.3%40.6%+2.3 pp
Draw30.0%31.8%+1.8 pp
Away31.7%27.5%-4.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.521.8%
BTTS46.7%

Historical average

1.251.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.9%
1-012.4%
0-011.3%
2-18.4%
2-08.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.304.59
Average total9.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=679.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.6%
Over 9.551.0%
Over 10.539.9%
Over 11.529.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches254
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT30.7%25.4%–36.6% CI
Draw FT46.5%40.4%–52.6% CI
Away FT22.8%18.1%–28.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.7%
2+ goals41.3%
3+ goals13.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.8%
Away44.1%