Serie B · 2024/25
2025-05-04 · 14:00
12.4438.3%
X3.1230.0%
22.9531.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Cesena
WLDDDWDLDL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Palermo
LLLLDWDWLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
1.50
0.90
Conceded
1.40
20%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
80%
By half
0.60
1H goals
1.50
1.10
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.00N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.50
Against
6.00
9.50
Total
10.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.50
0.90
Goals conceded
1.40
1.70
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Cesena attack
0.80goals per matchPalermo conceded1.40Matchup
Palermo attack
1.50goals per matchCesena conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
1.00
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.50
Corners against
6.00
9.50
Match total
10.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.10
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.30N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
28.30
Match total
26.40
Shots
10.20N=10
Shots
12.90N=10
2.70
On target
3.90
8%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches679
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.3%40.6%+2.3 pp
Draw30.0%31.8%+1.8 pp
Away31.7%27.5%-4.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.521.8%
BTTS46.7%
Historical average
1.25–1.06
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.9%
1-012.4%
0-011.3%
2-18.4%
2-08.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.30–4.59
Average total9.89
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=679.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.6%
Over 9.551.0%
Over 10.539.9%
Over 11.529.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches254
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT30.7%25.4%–36.6% CI
Draw FT46.5%40.4%–52.6% CI
Away FT22.8%18.1%–28.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.30
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal69.7%
2+ goals41.3%
3+ goals13.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.8%
Away44.1%