Serie B · 2024/25
2025-05-04 · 14:00
12.2641.3%
X3.0630.5%
23.3128.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Carrarese
WWLLWDLWDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Modena
WDLDLWLLWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.30
1.40
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.50
1.50
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
3.30N=10
5.30
Against
6.10
10.30
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.30
1.40
Goals conceded
1.30
2.80
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Carrarese attack

1.40goals per match
Modena conceded1.30
Matchup

Modena attack

1.30goals per match
Carrarese conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
5.30
Corners against
6.10
10.30
Match total
9.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.60
Match total
4.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.40N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
29.10
Match total
29.40

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
4.30
On target
3.60
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches541
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.3%42.7%+1.4 pp
Draw30.5%33.3%+2.8 pp
Away28.2%24.0%-4.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.525.7%
BTTS51.8%

Historical average

1.401.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.8%
1-013.1%
0-010.7%
2-18.7%
0-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.294.50
Average total9.79

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=541.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.7%
Over 9.551.9%
Over 10.538.3%
Over 11.526.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches202
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.7%25.7%–38.4% CI
Draw FT45.0%38.3%–51.9% CI
Away FT23.3%18.0%–29.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.3%
2+ goals36.1%
3+ goals15.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.5%
Away44.6%