Serie B · 2024/25
2025-05-04 · 14:00
13.5526.4%
X2.9332.0%
22.2541.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bari
WLWDWDDDWL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Pisa
LWDWDLLWWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.30
0.90
Conceded
0.80
40%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.20
0.90
2H goals
0.90
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.00
Against
4.40
9.30
Total
7.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.30
0.90
Goals conceded
0.80
2.10
Total goals
2.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Bari attack

1.20goals per match
Pisa conceded0.80
Matchup

Pisa attack

1.30goals per match
Bari conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.00
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
4.00
Corners against
4.40
9.30
Match total
7.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.00
Match total
4.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.10N=10
Committed
16.10N=10
29.80
Match total
27.10

Shots

12.10N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
3.80
On target
2.50
10%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches33
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.4%21.2%-5.2 pp
Draw32.0%36.4%+4.4 pp
Away41.6%42.4%+0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.521.2%
BTTS57.6%

Historical average

1.001.33

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.2%
1-215.2%
0-112.1%
0-09.1%
2-29.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.215.27
Average total9.48

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=33.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.548.5%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.527.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Draw FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI
Away FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals8.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.7%
Away66.7%