Serie B · 2024/25
2025-05-01 · 14:00
11.9548.0%
X3.1629.6%
24.1822.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spezia
WWDDWDLWLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Salernitana
LDLLLDLLDL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.30
0.90
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.20
1.50
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.10N=10
For
3.70N=10
2.30
Against
4.60
9.40
Total
8.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.30
0.90
Goals conceded
1.50
2.80
Total goals
1.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Spezia attack

1.90goals per match
Salernitana conceded1.50
Matchup

Salernitana attack

0.30goals per match
Spezia conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.00
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
10%1/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
2.30
Corners against
4.60
9.40
Match total
8.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.00N=10
5.60
Match total
3.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

18.30N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
36.80
Match total
27.90

Shots

19.60N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
5.90
On target
2.50
10%
Conversion
3%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches192
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.0%48.4%+0.4 pp
Draw29.6%30.2%+0.6 pp
Away22.4%21.4%-1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.528.1%
BTTS54.7%

Historical average

1.661.02

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.6%
2-010.4%
0-08.9%
2-18.9%
1-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.364.40
Average total9.76

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=192.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.9%
Over 9.550.5%
Over 10.540.1%
Over 11.530.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches57
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.6%21.0%–44.5% CI
Draw FT50.9%38.3%–63.4% CI
Away FT17.5%9.8%–29.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.2%
2+ goals45.6%
3+ goals14.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.4%
Away43.9%