Serie B · 2024/25
2025-05-01 · 14:00
11.9548.0%
X3.1629.6%
24.1822.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Spezia
WWDDWDLWLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Salernitana
LDLLLDLLDL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
0.30
0.90
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.30
1H goals
0.20
1.50
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
7.10N=10
For
3.70N=10
2.30
Against
4.60
9.40
Total
8.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.30
0.90
Goals conceded
1.50
2.80
Total goals
1.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Spezia attack
1.90goals per matchSalernitana conceded1.50Matchup
Salernitana attack
0.30goals per matchSpezia conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.00
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
2.30
Corners against
4.60
9.40
Match total
8.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
2.00N=10
5.60
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
18.30N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
36.80
Match total
27.90
Shots
19.60N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
5.90
On target
2.50
10%
Conversion
3%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches192
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.0%48.4%+0.4 pp
Draw29.6%30.2%+0.6 pp
Away22.4%21.4%-1.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.528.1%
BTTS54.7%
Historical average
1.66–1.02
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.6%
2-010.4%
0-08.9%
2-18.9%
1-08.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.36–4.40
Average total9.76
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=192.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.9%
Over 9.550.5%
Over 10.540.1%
Over 11.530.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches57
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.6%21.0%–44.5% CI
Draw FT50.9%38.3%–63.4% CI
Away FT17.5%9.8%–29.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.39
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.2%
2+ goals45.6%
3+ goals14.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.4%
Away43.9%