Serie B · 2024/25
2025-05-01 · 14:00
12.0246.3%
X3.1230.0%
23.9523.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Modena
WDWDDWDDWL
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Reggiana
DWLWLLDDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.00
0.90
Conceded
1.60
30%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
3.40N=10
2.80
Against
6.10
7.10
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded
1.60
2.20
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Modena attack

1.30goals per match
Reggiana conceded1.60
Matchup

Reggiana attack

1.00goals per match
Modena conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
2.80
Corners against
6.10
7.10
Match total
9.50
20%2/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.80
Match total
5.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
16.50N=10
25.60
Match total
31.70

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
4.20
On target
3.30
11%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches417
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.3%49.2%+2.8 pp
Draw30.0%28.5%-1.5 pp
Away23.7%22.3%-1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.3%
BTTS45.8%

Historical average

1.420.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.1%
1-111.5%
0-010.8%
2-19.6%
0-18.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.383.82
Average total9.20

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=417.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.6%
Over 9.543.4%
Over 10.532.9%
Over 11.521.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches153
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT41.8%34.3%–49.8% CI
Draw FT36.6%29.4%–44.5% CI
Away FT21.6%15.8%–28.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.6%
2+ goals30.7%
3+ goals16.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.6%
Away38.6%