Serie B · 2024/25
2025-04-25 · 19:30
12.9831.6%
X3.2728.8%
22.3739.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cesena
DWLDDDWDLD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Sassuolo
WWLWLWDWLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.90
0.80
Conceded
1.40
20%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.50
1H goals
1.50
1.20
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
3.40N=10
3.40
Against
4.00
9.70
Total
7.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.90
0.80
Goals conceded
1.40
1.70
Total goals
3.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Cesena attack

0.90goals per match
Sassuolo conceded1.40
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

1.90goals per match
Cesena conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.10
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.00
9.70
Match total
7.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.40
Match total
5.00
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.00N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
28.60
Match total
27.30

Shots

11.30N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
3.50
On target
4.60
8%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches675
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.6%31.4%-0.2 pp
Draw28.8%23.0%-5.8 pp
Away39.7%45.6%+5.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.525.5%
BTTS51.0%

Historical average

1.141.46

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.6%
0-111.4%
1-09.6%
1-29.3%
0-27.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.735.26
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=675.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.1%
Over 9.553.9%
Over 10.540.9%
Over 11.530.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches209
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT35.4%29.2%–42.1% CI
Draw FT32.5%26.5%–39.2% CI
Away FT32.1%26.1%–38.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.9%
2+ goals39.7%
3+ goals15.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.2%
Away49.3%