Serie B · 2024/25
2025-04-25 · 14:00
12.3440.1%
X3.0830.5%
23.1929.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bari
WWLWDWDDDW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Modena
DWDLDLWLLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.10
0.90
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.50
Against
5.90
9.70
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.10
0.90
Goals conceded
1.20
2.30
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Bari attack

1.40goals per match
Modena conceded1.20
Matchup

Modena attack

1.10goals per match
Bari conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
4.50
Corners against
5.90
9.70
Match total
9.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.10
Match total
4.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.70N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
30.60
Match total
30.50

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
3.80
On target
3.50
12%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,130
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.1%39.0%-1.1 pp
Draw30.5%32.7%+2.3 pp
Away29.4%28.2%-1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.6%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.521.3%
BTTS47.9%

Historical average

1.241.04

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.0%
1-011.7%
0-011.5%
0-19.2%
2-18.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.124.34
Average total9.47

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,130.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.5%
Over 9.547.9%
Over 10.535.0%
Over 11.524.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches419
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT28.4%24.3%–32.9% CI
Draw FT46.3%41.6%–51.1% CI
Away FT25.3%21.4%–29.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.0%
2+ goals37.7%
3+ goals12.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.2%
Away44.6%