Serie B · 2024/25
2025-04-25 · 14:00
12.3440.1%
X3.0830.5%
23.1929.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bari
WWLWDWDDDW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Modena
DWDLDLWLLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.10
0.90
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.50
Against
5.90
9.70
Total
9.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.10
0.90
Goals conceded
1.20
2.30
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bari attack
1.40goals per matchModena conceded1.20Matchup
Modena attack
1.10goals per matchBari conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
4.50
Corners against
5.90
9.70
Match total
9.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.10
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.70N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
30.60
Match total
30.50
Shots
11.90N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
3.80
On target
3.50
12%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,130
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.1%39.0%-1.1 pp
Draw30.5%32.7%+2.3 pp
Away29.4%28.2%-1.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.6%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.521.3%
BTTS47.9%
Historical average
1.24–1.04
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.0%
1-011.7%
0-011.5%
0-19.2%
2-18.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.12–4.34
Average total9.47
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,130.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.5%
Over 9.547.9%
Over 10.535.0%
Over 11.524.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches419
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT28.4%24.3%–32.9% CI
Draw FT46.3%41.6%–51.1% CI
Away FT25.3%21.4%–29.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.24
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal69.0%
2+ goals37.7%
3+ goals12.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home48.2%
Away44.6%