Serie B · 2024/25
2025-04-12 · 18:30
13.0131.1%
X3.1929.4%
22.3739.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Modena
DWDWDDWDDW
4W 6D 0L · 1.80 PPM
Sassuolo
WWWLWLWDWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.70
0.80
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.40
1.00
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.50N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.20
Against
3.50
7.70
Total
7.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.70
0.80
Goals conceded
1.30
2.20
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Modena attack
1.40goals per matchSassuolo conceded1.30Matchup
Sassuolo attack
1.70goals per matchModena conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
1.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.20
Corners against
3.50
7.70
Match total
7.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.90
Match total
4.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.30N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
26.10
Match total
27.20
Shots
12.00N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
4.30
On target
4.80
12%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches608
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.1%31.7%+0.6 pp
Draw29.4%23.4%-6.0 pp
Away39.5%44.9%+5.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.5%
BTTS51.5%
Historical average
1.13–1.42
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-112.5%
1-112.0%
1-210.0%
1-09.9%
0-27.1%
Comparable corner averages
4.73–5.25
Average total9.98
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=608.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.5%
Over 9.554.3%
Over 10.541.6%
Over 11.530.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches197
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT33.5%27.3%–40.4% CI
Draw FT31.5%25.4%–38.3% CI
Away FT35.0%28.7%–41.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.40
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal79.7%
2+ goals39.6%
3+ goals14.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home49.7%
Away51.8%