Serie B · 2024/25
2025-04-12 · 18:30
13.0131.1%
X3.1929.4%
22.3739.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Modena
DWDWDDWDDW
4W 6D 0L · 1.80 PPM
Sassuolo
WWWLWLWDWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.70
0.80
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.40
1.00
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.20
Against
3.50
7.70
Total
7.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.70
0.80
Goals conceded
1.30
2.20
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Modena attack

1.40goals per match
Sassuolo conceded1.30
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

1.70goals per match
Modena conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.20
Corners against
3.50
7.70
Match total
7.50
30%3/10
Over 8.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.90
Match total
4.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
26.10
Match total
27.20

Shots

12.00N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
4.30
On target
4.80
12%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches608
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.1%31.7%+0.6 pp
Draw29.4%23.4%-6.0 pp
Away39.5%44.9%+5.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.5%
BTTS51.5%

Historical average

1.131.42

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-112.5%
1-112.0%
1-210.0%
1-09.9%
0-27.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.735.25
Average total9.98

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=608.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.5%
Over 9.554.3%
Over 10.541.6%
Over 11.530.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches197
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT33.5%27.3%–40.4% CI
Draw FT31.5%25.4%–38.3% CI
Away FT35.0%28.7%–41.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.7%
2+ goals39.6%
3+ goals14.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.7%
Away51.8%