Serie B · 2024/25
2025-04-12 · 16:15
11.6257.7%
X3.6825.4%
25.5516.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sampdoria
DDDLLWWDDL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Cittadella
WLLWDWWLWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
1.00
1.10
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
1.10
50%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.80N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.90
Against
6.80
9.70
Total
10.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded
1.20
1.90
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sampdoria attack
0.80goals per matchCittadella conceded1.20Matchup
Cittadella attack
1.00goals per matchSampdoria conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
4.90
Corners against
6.80
9.70
Match total
10.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.80N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.30
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.40N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
28.60
Match total
30.00
Shots
13.60N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
4.10
On target
3.10
6%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches432
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.7%60.0%+2.2 pp
Draw25.4%22.5%-3.0 pp
Away16.9%17.6%+0.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.525.2%
BTTS49.8%
Historical average
1.69–0.86
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-017.4%
1-111.8%
2-110.6%
2-09.5%
0-06.0%
Comparable corner averages
6.11–3.60
Average total9.71
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=432.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.8%
Over 9.547.9%
Over 10.539.1%
Over 11.530.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches134
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.8%39.5%–56.2% CI
Draw FT32.1%24.8%–40.4% CI
Away FT20.1%14.2%–27.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.46
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.6%
2+ goals41.0%
3+ goals15.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home64.9%
Away39.6%