Serie B · 2024/25
2025-04-11 · 19:30
12.8632.8%
X3.1529.8%
22.5137.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bari
DWWLWDWDDD
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Palermo
DDLLLLDWDW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.20
1.00
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.70
Against
5.90
9.80
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.20
1.00
Goals conceded
1.20
2.40
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Bari attack

1.40goals per match
Palermo conceded1.20
Matchup

Palermo attack

1.20goals per match
Bari conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.80
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.90
9.80
Match total
10.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.20
Match total
4.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.50N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
31.90
Match total
28.50

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
13.90N=10
3.70
On target
4.20
12%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches240
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.8%33.3%+0.5 pp
Draw29.8%27.5%-2.3 pp
Away37.4%39.2%+1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.528.7%
BTTS56.7%

Historical average

1.251.34

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.9%
0-111.7%
1-011.3%
1-27.9%
2-17.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.075.07
Average total10.14

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=240.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.3%
Over 9.555.0%
Over 10.544.2%
Over 11.534.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches86
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.6%23.6%–43.0% CI
Draw FT33.7%24.6%–44.2% CI
Away FT33.7%24.6%–44.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.2%
2+ goals40.7%
3+ goals16.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.3%
Away55.8%