Serie B · 2024/25
2025-04-11 · 19:30
12.8632.8%
X3.1529.8%
22.5137.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bari
DWWLWDWDDD
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Palermo
DDLLLLDWDW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.20
1.00
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.70
Against
5.90
9.80
Total
10.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.20
1.00
Goals conceded
1.20
2.40
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bari attack
1.40goals per matchPalermo conceded1.20Matchup
Palermo attack
1.20goals per matchBari conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.80
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.90
9.80
Match total
10.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.20
Match total
4.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.50N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
31.90
Match total
28.50
Shots
11.60N=10
Shots
13.90N=10
3.70
On target
4.20
12%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches240
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.8%33.3%+0.5 pp
Draw29.8%27.5%-2.3 pp
Away37.4%39.2%+1.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.528.7%
BTTS56.7%
Historical average
1.25–1.34
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.9%
0-111.7%
1-011.3%
1-27.9%
2-17.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.07–5.07
Average total10.14
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=240.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.3%
Over 9.555.0%
Over 10.544.2%
Over 11.534.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches86
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.6%23.6%–43.0% CI
Draw FT33.7%24.6%–44.2% CI
Away FT33.7%24.6%–44.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.43
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.2%
2+ goals40.7%
3+ goals16.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.3%
Away55.8%