Serie B · 2024/25
2025-04-06 · 16:15
11.6756.1%
X3.7724.8%
24.9119.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spezia
WWWDDWDLWL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Sampdoria
DLDLDDDLDD
0W 7D 3L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.00
0.90
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.40N=10
For
4.20N=10
2.40
Against
4.80
9.80
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded
1.80
2.70
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Spezia attack

1.80goals per match
Sampdoria conceded1.80
Matchup

Sampdoria attack

1.00goals per match
Spezia conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.40N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
2.40
Corners against
4.80
9.80
Match total
9.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.70
Match total
3.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

19.00N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
36.80
Match total
29.10

Shots

18.80N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
5.60
On target
3.00
10%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches630
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.1%60.0%+3.9 pp
Draw24.8%22.5%-2.3 pp
Away19.1%17.5%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.526.5%
BTTS50.3%

Historical average

1.740.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.1%
2-111.7%
2-011.6%
1-110.6%
0-05.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.083.88
Average total9.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=630.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.5%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.540.6%
Over 11.531.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches196
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT49.5%42.6%–56.4% CI
Draw FT35.2%28.9%–42.1% CI
Away FT15.3%10.9%–21.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.48

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.1%
2+ goals43.4%
3+ goals15.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home67.9%
Away39.3%