Serie B · 2024/25
2025-04-06 · 16:15
11.6756.1%
X3.7724.8%
24.9119.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Spezia
WWWDDWDLWL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Sampdoria
DLDLDDDLDD
0W 7D 3L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.00
0.90
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
7.40N=10
For
4.20N=10
2.40
Against
4.80
9.80
Total
9.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded
1.80
2.70
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Spezia attack
1.80goals per matchSampdoria conceded1.80Matchup
Sampdoria attack
1.00goals per matchSpezia conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.40N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
2.40
Corners against
4.80
9.80
Match total
9.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.70
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
19.00N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
36.80
Match total
29.10
Shots
18.80N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
5.60
On target
3.00
10%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches630
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.1%60.0%+3.9 pp
Draw24.8%22.5%-2.3 pp
Away19.1%17.5%-1.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.526.5%
BTTS50.3%
Historical average
1.74–0.90
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-015.1%
2-111.7%
2-011.6%
1-110.6%
0-05.9%
Comparable corner averages
6.08–3.88
Average total9.96
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=630.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.5%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.540.6%
Over 11.531.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches196
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT49.5%42.6%–56.4% CI
Draw FT35.2%28.9%–42.1% CI
Away FT15.3%10.9%–21.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.48
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.1%
2+ goals43.4%
3+ goals15.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home67.9%
Away39.3%