Serie B · 2024/25
2025-04-06 · 14:00
12.2741.3%
X3.1629.7%
23.2329.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Catanzaro
DDWLWDWWDW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Bari
WDLLDDLWDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.80
0.70
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
0.90
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
5.70N=10
3.20
Against
4.30
8.20
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.80
0.70
Goals conceded
1.10
2.20
Total goals
1.90
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Catanzaro attack

1.50goals per match
Bari conceded1.10
Matchup

Bari attack

0.80goals per match
Catanzaro conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.20
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
3.20
Corners against
4.30
8.20
Match total
10.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.70
Match total
5.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
16.40N=10
27.20
Match total
31.00

Shots

13.40N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
4.10
On target
3.50
11%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,294
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.3%41.4%+0.1 pp
Draw29.7%32.5%+2.9 pp
Away29.0%26.0%-3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.539.8%
Over 3.522.3%
BTTS48.5%

Historical average

1.301.02

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.6%
1-012.1%
0-010.7%
0-18.6%
2-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.144.40
Average total9.54

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,293.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.5%
Over 9.548.8%
Over 10.536.0%
Over 11.525.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches450
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT29.8%25.7%–34.2% CI
Draw FT44.9%40.4%–49.5% CI
Away FT25.3%21.5%–29.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.21

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.1%
2+ goals36.0%
3+ goals11.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.2%
Away43.8%