Serie B · 2024/25
2025-04-05 · 14:00
12.5237.1%
X3.0330.9%
22.9232.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sudtirol
DLLDLDWWDD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Cesena
WLLLLWLWWD
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.20
1.50
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.40
1.40
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
4.20N=10
5.60
Against
3.10
9.90
Total
7.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.20
1.50
Goals conceded
1.40
2.70
Total goals
2.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Sudtirol attack

1.20goals per match
Cesena conceded1.40
Matchup

Cesena attack

1.20goals per match
Sudtirol conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
5.60
Corners against
3.10
9.90
Match total
7.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.60
Match total
5.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.80N=10
Committed
15.40N=10
30.30
Match total
29.90

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
4.20
On target
4.20
9%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches431
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.1%32.9%-4.2 pp
Draw30.9%34.1%+3.2 pp
Away32.0%32.9%+0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.3%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.518.1%
BTTS49.0%

Historical average

1.101.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.5%
0-112.3%
0-012.3%
1-011.1%
2-18.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.744.40
Average total9.14

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=431.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.8%
Over 9.546.2%
Over 10.533.6%
Over 11.520.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches163
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.0%20.8%–34.3% CI
Draw FT44.2%36.8%–51.8% CI
Away FT28.8%22.4%–36.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.5%
2+ goals36.2%
3+ goals14.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.2%
Away45.4%