Serie B · 2024/25
2025-04-05 · 14:00
12.7434.2%
X2.9931.3%
22.7134.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cittadella
LDDWWLLLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Carrarese
DLLDDLLLDD
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.80
1.90
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.90
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.30
Against
4.50
7.10
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.80
1.90
Goals conceded
1.60
2.90
Total goals
2.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Cittadella attack

1.00goals per match
Carrarese conceded1.60
Matchup

Carrarese attack

0.80goals per match
Cittadella conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.30
Corners against
4.50
7.10
Match total
9.40
10%1/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
0%0/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.30
Match total
4.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

17.60N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
32.80
Match total
27.40

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
3.40
On target
3.40
9%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches684
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.2%31.6%-2.6 pp
Draw31.3%34.5%+3.2 pp
Away34.5%33.9%-0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.2%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.518.3%
BTTS46.1%

Historical average

1.051.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.5%
0-014.0%
0-112.4%
1-010.4%
2-17.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.694.44
Average total9.13

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=684.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.0%
Over 9.544.6%
Over 10.533.0%
Over 11.523.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches275
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT26.2%21.3%–31.7% CI
Draw FT46.9%41.1%–52.8% CI
Away FT26.9%22.0%–32.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.05

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.1%
2+ goals29.1%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.2%
Away41.8%