Serie B · 2024/25
2025-03-28 · 19:30
11.5161.8%
X3.9823.5%
26.3514.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spezia
DWWWDDWDLW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Brescia
WDLDDDWLLL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.80
0.80
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
4.90N=10
2.30
Against
6.10
8.60
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.80
0.80
Goals conceded
1.10
2.60
Total goals
1.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Spezia attack

1.80goals per match
Brescia conceded1.10
Matchup

Brescia attack

0.80goals per match
Spezia conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
2.30
Corners against
6.10
8.60
Match total
11.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.50
Match total
5.00
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

18.50N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
35.60
Match total
26.70

Shots

17.90N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
5.50
On target
3.50
10%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches283
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.8%64.3%+2.5 pp
Draw23.5%22.6%-0.8 pp
Away14.7%13.1%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.522.6%
BTTS41.3%

Historical average

1.790.68

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-017.0%
2-012.0%
1-111.3%
3-010.6%
2-18.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.203.64
Average total9.84

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=282.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.5%
Over 9.551.1%
Over 10.538.7%
Over 11.528.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches103
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.4%43.8%–62.7% CI
Draw FT29.1%21.2%–38.5% CI
Away FT17.5%11.3%–25.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.5%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals17.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.9%
Away35.0%