Serie B · 2024/25
2025-03-15 · 18:30
12.3539.9%
X3.1130.2%
23.1429.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bari
DDWWLWDWDD
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Salernitana
LDLDLLLDLL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.50
1.00
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.50
1.40
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.60
Against
3.60
9.20
Total
7.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.50
1.00
Goals conceded
1.70
2.40
Total goals
2.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Bari attack

1.40goals per match
Salernitana conceded1.70
Matchup

Salernitana attack

0.50goals per match
Bari conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.00
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
30%3/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
4.60
Corners against
3.60
9.20
Match total
7.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.50
Match total
4.00
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

16.10N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
32.70
Match total
28.10

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
4.00
On target
2.60
12%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,193
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.9%40.0%+0.0 pp
Draw30.2%31.3%+1.1 pp
Away29.9%28.8%-1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.520.5%
BTTS48.0%

Historical average

1.241.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.6%
1-011.6%
0-011.0%
2-08.7%
2-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.134.40
Average total9.52

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,193.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.2%
Over 9.548.9%
Over 10.536.1%
Over 11.525.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches438
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT30.1%26.0%–34.6% CI
Draw FT44.3%39.7%–49.0% CI
Away FT25.6%21.7%–29.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.1%
2+ goals38.8%
3+ goals13.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.2%
Away44.3%