Serie B · 2024/25
2025-03-09 · 14:00
11.9248.6%
X3.2528.7%
24.1222.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spezia
WDWWWDDWDL
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Pisa
DWLWLWDWDL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.00
0.60
Conceded
0.80
40%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.00
2H goals
0.80
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
4.10N=10
2.60
Against
4.90
8.80
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.00
0.60
Goals conceded
0.80
2.20
Total goals
1.80
60%6/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Spezia attack

1.60goals per match
Pisa conceded0.80
Matchup

Pisa attack

1.00goals per match
Spezia conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
2.60
Corners against
4.90
8.80
Match total
9.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.50
Match total
4.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

18.60N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
36.20
Match total
26.10

Shots

18.20N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
5.30
On target
2.40
9%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches621
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.6%48.8%+0.2 pp
Draw28.7%32.5%+3.8 pp
Away22.7%18.7%-4.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.2%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.522.9%
BTTS48.3%

Historical average

1.430.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.8%
1-115.1%
0-010.8%
2-08.5%
2-18.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.343.91
Average total9.25

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=620.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.8%
Over 9.543.2%
Over 10.534.5%
Over 11.525.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches227
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT40.1%33.9%–46.6% CI
Draw FT43.2%36.9%–49.7% CI
Away FT16.7%12.4%–22.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.5%
2+ goals34.8%
3+ goals10.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.4%
Away36.6%