Serie B · 2023/24
2024-05-10 · 19:30
13.1729.5%
X3.2728.6%
22.2341.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sudtirol
LWLLWWWDDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Palermo
DLDWDLWLDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.50
1.00
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
50%
20%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.60
1.50
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.90
Against
5.40
7.90
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.50
1.00
Goals conceded
1.90
2.20
Total goals
3.40
40%4/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Sudtirol attack

1.20goals per match
Palermo conceded1.90
Matchup

Palermo attack

1.50goals per match
Sudtirol conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.90
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.40
7.90
Match total
9.70
20%2/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.60
Match total
4.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
27.20
Match total
23.90

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
3.00
On target
4.20
10%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches586
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.5%26.6%-2.9 pp
Draw28.6%24.9%-3.7 pp
Away41.9%48.5%+6.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.527.1%
BTTS54.9%

Historical average

1.121.57

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.8%
1-211.6%
0-110.6%
1-08.9%
0-26.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.725.13
Average total9.85

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=586.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.539.6%
Over 11.530.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches175
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.0%21.9%–35.1% CI
Draw FT33.7%27.1%–41.0% CI
Away FT38.3%31.4%–45.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.3%
2+ goals44.0%
3+ goals22.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.4%
Away58.9%