Serie B · 2023/24
2024-05-10 · 19:30
12.0944.8%
X3.4926.8%
23.2928.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spezia
DLDWLWWDDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Venezia
DLLWWLWDWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.80
1.00
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
90%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.60
0.90
2H goals
1.70
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.90
Against
5.40
9.50
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.80
1.00
Goals conceded
1.50
2.20
Total goals
3.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Spezia attack

1.20goals per match
Venezia conceded1.50
Matchup

Venezia attack

1.80goals per match
Spezia conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.40
9.50
Match total
9.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
1.90N=10
5.80
Match total
4.30
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

17.60N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
31.60
Match total
24.60

Shots

14.30N=10
Shots
14.00N=10
4.10
On target
4.90
8%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches362
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.8%42.3%-2.5 pp
Draw26.8%29.8%+3.0 pp
Away28.4%27.9%-0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.552.2%
Over 3.530.4%
BTTS55.8%

Historical average

1.511.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.9%
1-09.7%
2-19.7%
0-08.8%
2-27.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.584.46
Average total10.04

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=362.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.2%
Over 9.552.8%
Over 10.542.3%
Over 11.533.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches107
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.5%27.1%–44.9% CI
Draw FT44.9%35.8%–54.3% CI
Away FT19.6%13.2%–28.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.1%
2+ goals42.1%
3+ goals17.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.1%
Away43.9%