Serie B · 2023/24
2024-05-10 · 19:30
13.4227.4%
X3.4427.2%
22.0645.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lecco
WLLLLLDWLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Modena
LDLDDDDDDL
0W 7D 3L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.00
1.60
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
4.80N=10
3.90
Against
4.40
8.70
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.00
1.60
Goals conceded
1.70
2.30
Total goals
2.70
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Lecco attack

0.70goals per match
Modena conceded1.70
Matchup

Modena attack

1.00goals per match
Lecco conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.40
8.70
Match total
9.20
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.90
Match total
5.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
26.50
Match total
27.50

Shots

12.20N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
2.80
On target
4.40
6%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches209
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.4%24.4%-3.0 pp
Draw27.2%28.2%+1.0 pp
Away45.4%47.4%+1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.555.5%
Over 3.532.5%
BTTS65.6%

Historical average

1.211.66

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.8%
1-212.4%
0-06.7%
2-16.7%
0-26.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.635.33
Average total9.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=209.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.1%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.544.5%
Over 11.534.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches53
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.9%10.6%–31.4% CI
Draw FT47.2%34.4%–60.3% CI
Away FT34.0%22.7%–47.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.58

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.6%
2+ goals52.8%
3+ goals24.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.7%
Away64.2%