Serie B · 2023/24
2024-05-10 · 19:30
13.4327.3%
X3.4427.2%
22.0645.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Catanzaro
LWDWDWLLDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Sampdoria
WLWLWWWDDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
1.60
1.60
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.10
1.90
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.80N=10
For
3.10N=10
3.30
Against
4.70
9.10
Total
7.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.60
1.60
Goals conceded
1.30
3.50
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Catanzaro attack
1.90goals per matchSampdoria conceded1.30Matchup
Sampdoria attack
1.60goals per matchCatanzaro conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.90
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
3.30
Corners against
4.70
9.10
Match total
7.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.60
Match total
6.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.20N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
27.40
Match total
28.00
Shots
12.20N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
4.30
On target
3.00
16%
Conversion
18%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches197
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.3%23.4%-4.0 pp
Draw27.2%25.9%-1.3 pp
Away45.5%50.8%+5.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.532.0%
BTTS62.9%
Historical average
1.15–1.69
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.7%
1-212.7%
0-27.6%
0-17.1%
2-16.6%
Comparable corner averages
4.76–5.24
Average total10.00
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=197.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.5%
Over 9.554.8%
Over 10.544.7%
Over 11.535.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches54
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.5%10.4%–30.8% CI
Draw FT38.9%27.0%–52.2% CI
Away FT42.6%30.3%–55.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.74
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals55.6%
3+ goals29.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away68.5%