Serie B · 2023/24
2024-05-10 · 19:30
13.4327.3%
X3.4427.2%
22.0645.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Catanzaro
LWDWDWLLDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Sampdoria
WLWLWWWDDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.60
1.60
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.10
1.90
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
3.10N=10
3.30
Against
4.70
9.10
Total
7.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.60
1.60
Goals conceded
1.30
3.50
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Catanzaro attack

1.90goals per match
Sampdoria conceded1.30
Matchup

Sampdoria attack

1.60goals per match
Catanzaro conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.90
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
3.30
Corners against
4.70
9.10
Match total
7.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.60
Match total
6.00
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

16.20N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
27.40
Match total
28.00

Shots

12.20N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
4.30
On target
3.00
16%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches197
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.3%23.4%-4.0 pp
Draw27.2%25.9%-1.3 pp
Away45.5%50.8%+5.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.532.0%
BTTS62.9%

Historical average

1.151.69

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.7%
1-212.7%
0-27.6%
0-17.1%
2-16.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.765.24
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=197.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.5%
Over 9.554.8%
Over 10.544.7%
Over 11.535.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches54
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.5%10.4%–30.8% CI
Draw FT38.9%27.0%–52.2% CI
Away FT42.6%30.3%–55.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.74

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals55.6%
3+ goals29.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away68.5%