Serie B · 2023/24
2024-05-10 · 19:30
11.5560.2%
X4.0523.0%
25.5816.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bari
DWLWWDLLDD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Brescia
WWLLDDLWLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.20
1.00
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.60
1.50
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.60
Against
5.90
10.50
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.20
1.00
Goals conceded
1.40
2.10
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Bari attack

1.10goals per match
Brescia conceded1.40
Matchup

Brescia attack

1.20goals per match
Bari conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.90
10.50
Match total
9.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.10
Match total
4.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
25.70
Match total
28.70

Shots

12.10N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
3.90
On target
3.70
9%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches344
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home60.2%61.6%+1.4 pp
Draw23.0%24.7%+1.7 pp
Away16.7%13.7%-3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.532.0%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.980.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-011.9%
1-111.6%
2-110.5%
1-09.9%
3-17.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.273.84
Average total10.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=344.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.0%
Over 9.552.3%
Over 10.542.7%
Over 11.533.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches90
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%39.9%–60.1% CI
Draw FT36.7%27.4%–47.0% CI
Away FT13.3%7.8%–21.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.48

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals45.6%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.4%
Away40.0%