Serie B · 2023/24
2024-05-05 · 14:00
11.8550.4%
X3.3927.5%
24.2322.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sampdoria
LDLDDLWWLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Reggiana
WDWDDDWWLW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.40
1.60
Conceded
0.90
60%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.10
1.90
2H goals
1.20
100%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.30N=10
For
3.70N=10
5.20
Against
4.90
9.50
Total
8.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.40
1.60
Goals conceded
0.90
3.00
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sampdoria attack
1.40goals per matchReggiana conceded0.90Matchup
Reggiana attack
1.40goals per matchSampdoria conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
5.20
Corners against
4.90
9.50
Match total
8.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.90
Match total
4.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.40N=10
Committed
15.10N=10
29.00
Match total
29.00
Shots
13.00N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
4.40
On target
3.20
11%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches644
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.4%52.2%+1.7 pp
Draw27.5%27.5%-0.0 pp
Away22.1%20.3%-1.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.523.3%
BTTS50.8%
Historical average
1.53–0.93
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-013.7%
1-112.0%
2-111.5%
2-010.1%
0-09.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.75–4.06
Average total9.81
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=644.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.3%
Over 9.550.5%
Over 10.540.1%
Over 11.529.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches201
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT38.8%32.3%–45.7% CI
Draw FT42.8%36.1%–49.7% CI
Away FT18.4%13.7%–24.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.22
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.1%
2+ goals36.8%
3+ goals12.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home56.2%
Away37.3%