Serie B · 2023/24
2024-05-05 · 14:00
12.5137.1%
X3.1429.6%
22.7933.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cosenza
DLWDLLDLDW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Spezia
WLLWDDDDLD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.80
1.30
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.90
1.10
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.80
Against
6.60
9.60
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.80
1.30
Goals conceded
1.50
2.60
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Cosenza attack

1.30goals per match
Spezia conceded1.50
Matchup

Spezia attack

0.80goals per match
Cosenza conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.80
Corners against
6.60
9.60
Match total
10.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.60N=10
For
2.80N=10
6.10
Match total
5.60
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
16.70N=10
25.10
Match total
30.30

Shots

12.70N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
3.70
On target
3.40
10%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches760
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.1%33.2%-3.9 pp
Draw29.6%36.6%+7.0 pp
Away33.3%30.3%-3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.520.3%
BTTS52.6%

Historical average

1.171.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-119.3%
0-011.1%
1-010.3%
0-18.9%
2-18.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.124.64
Average total9.77

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=759.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.551.9%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.529.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches253
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT26.1%21.1%–31.8% CI
Draw FT51.8%45.6%–57.9% CI
Away FT22.1%17.5%–27.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.16

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.8%
2+ goals37.2%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.0%
Away43.9%