Serie B · 2023/24
2024-05-05 · 14:00
12.5137.1%
X3.1429.6%
22.7933.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Cosenza
DLWDLLDLDW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Spezia
WLLWDDDDLD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
0.80
1.30
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.50
1H goals
0.90
1.10
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.80N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.80
Against
6.60
9.60
Total
10.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.80
1.30
Goals conceded
1.50
2.60
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Cosenza attack
1.30goals per matchSpezia conceded1.50Matchup
Spezia attack
0.80goals per matchCosenza conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.80
Corners against
6.60
9.60
Match total
10.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.60N=10
For
2.80N=10
6.10
Match total
5.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.80N=10
Committed
16.70N=10
25.10
Match total
30.30
Shots
12.70N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
3.70
On target
3.40
10%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches760
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.1%33.2%-3.9 pp
Draw29.6%36.6%+7.0 pp
Away33.3%30.3%-3.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.520.3%
BTTS52.6%
Historical average
1.17–1.12
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-119.3%
0-011.1%
1-010.3%
0-18.9%
2-18.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.12–4.64
Average total9.77
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=759.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.551.9%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.529.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches253
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT26.1%21.1%–31.8% CI
Draw FT51.8%45.6%–57.9% CI
Away FT22.1%17.5%–27.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.16
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal66.8%
2+ goals37.2%
3+ goals9.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home47.0%
Away43.9%