Serie B · 2023/24
2024-05-05 · 14:00
12.4937.4%
X3.0630.4%
22.8932.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cittadella
WWWLLLLDDD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Bari
LDDLLLLDLL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.70
1.00
Conceded
2.00
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
4.70N=10
3.20
Against
4.80
7.10
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.70
1.00
Goals conceded
2.00
2.30
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Cittadella attack

1.30goals per match
Bari conceded2.00
Matchup

Bari attack

0.70goals per match
Cittadella conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
3.20
Corners against
4.80
7.10
Match total
9.50
40%4/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.70
Match total
5.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

14.50N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
29.20
Match total
27.20

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
3.00
On target
3.10
10%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches326
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.4%32.5%-4.9 pp
Draw30.4%37.7%+7.3 pp
Away32.2%29.8%-2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.561.7%
Over 2.536.5%
Over 3.517.2%
BTTS47.2%

Historical average

1.091.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.9%
0-014.7%
0-112.6%
1-011.0%
2-18.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.764.43
Average total9.19

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=326.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.4%
Over 9.546.6%
Over 10.534.0%
Over 11.523.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches126
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.0%20.0%–35.3% CI
Draw FT49.2%40.6%–57.8% CI
Away FT23.8%17.2%–32.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.09

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal61.9%
2+ goals32.5%
3+ goals11.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.9%
Away40.5%