Serie B · 2023/24
2024-05-01 · 14:00
12.1742.9%
X3.3827.5%
23.1529.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Spezia
WDLDWLWWDD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Palermo
DDLDWDLWLD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.80
1.00
Conceded
2.10
30%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.70
1.00
2H goals
2.20
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.10N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.30
Against
5.90
10.40
Total
10.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.80
1.00
Goals conceded
2.10
2.20
Total goals
3.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Spezia attack
1.20goals per matchPalermo conceded2.10Matchup
Palermo attack
1.80goals per matchSpezia conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.10
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.90
10.40
Match total
10.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
2.10N=10
6.00
Match total
4.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
17.20N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
31.30
Match total
23.60
Shots
14.90N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
4.00
On target
4.40
8%
Conversion
18%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches671
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.9%42.9%+0.0 pp
Draw27.5%30.4%+2.9 pp
Away29.6%26.7%-2.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.525.8%
BTTS54.2%
Historical average
1.48–1.13
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.2%
1-09.5%
2-18.8%
0-08.3%
1-28.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.78–4.51
Average total10.29
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=670.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.8%
Over 9.557.2%
Over 10.545.2%
Over 11.533.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches208
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.1%28.0%–40.8% CI
Draw FT39.9%33.5%–46.7% CI
Away FT26.0%20.5%–32.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.40
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.1%
2+ goals42.3%
3+ goals17.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.4%
Away44.7%