Serie B · 2023/24
2024-05-01 · 14:00
12.1742.9%
X3.3827.5%
23.1529.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spezia
WDLDWLWWDD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Palermo
DDLDWDLWLD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.80
1.00
Conceded
2.10
30%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.70
1.00
2H goals
2.20
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.30
Against
5.90
10.40
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.80
1.00
Goals conceded
2.10
2.20
Total goals
3.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Spezia attack

1.20goals per match
Palermo conceded2.10
Matchup

Palermo attack

1.80goals per match
Spezia conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.10
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.90
10.40
Match total
10.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.10N=10
6.00
Match total
4.10
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

17.20N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
31.30
Match total
23.60

Shots

14.90N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
4.00
On target
4.40
8%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches671
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.9%42.9%+0.0 pp
Draw27.5%30.4%+2.9 pp
Away29.6%26.7%-2.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.525.8%
BTTS54.2%

Historical average

1.481.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.2%
1-09.5%
2-18.8%
0-08.3%
1-28.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.784.51
Average total10.29

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=670.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.8%
Over 9.557.2%
Over 10.545.2%
Over 11.533.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches208
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.1%28.0%–40.8% CI
Draw FT39.9%33.5%–46.7% CI
Away FT26.0%20.5%–32.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.1%
2+ goals42.3%
3+ goals17.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.4%
Away44.7%