Serie B · 2023/24
2024-04-27 · 15:15
13.0131.0%
X3.2528.7%
22.3240.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sampdoria
WLDLDDLWWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Como
WLWDWLWLWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.70
1.50
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.60
1.80
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
5.30N=10
5.70
Against
4.40
10.30
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.70
1.50
Goals conceded
1.30
3.00
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Sampdoria attack

1.50goals per match
Como conceded1.30
Matchup

Como attack

1.70goals per match
Sampdoria conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
5.70
Corners against
4.40
10.30
Match total
9.70
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.10N=10
5.10
Match total
4.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

16.70N=10
Committed
15.20N=10
29.20
Match total
26.60

Shots

14.50N=10
Shots
15.70N=10
4.50
On target
4.90
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches604
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.0%30.1%-0.9 pp
Draw28.7%24.0%-4.7 pp
Away40.2%45.9%+5.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.523.3%
BTTS49.3%

Historical average

1.071.42

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.8%
1-010.9%
0-110.9%
1-210.3%
0-08.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.745.16
Average total9.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=604.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.1%
Over 9.551.2%
Over 10.540.4%
Over 11.529.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches200
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.5%25.5%–38.2% CI
Draw FT35.0%28.7%–41.8% CI
Away FT33.5%27.3%–40.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.5%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals16.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away48.5%