Serie B · 2023/24
2024-04-27 · 15:15
13.0131.0%
X3.2528.7%
22.3240.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sampdoria
WLDLDDLWWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Como
WLWDWLWLWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.70
1.50
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.60
1.80
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.60N=10
For
5.30N=10
5.70
Against
4.40
10.30
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.70
1.50
Goals conceded
1.30
3.00
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sampdoria attack
1.50goals per matchComo conceded1.30Matchup
Como attack
1.70goals per matchSampdoria conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
5.70
Corners against
4.40
10.30
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.10N=10
5.10
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.70N=10
Committed
15.20N=10
29.20
Match total
26.60
Shots
14.50N=10
Shots
15.70N=10
4.50
On target
4.90
10%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches604
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.0%30.1%-0.9 pp
Draw28.7%24.0%-4.7 pp
Away40.2%45.9%+5.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.523.3%
BTTS49.3%
Historical average
1.07–1.42
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-111.8%
1-010.9%
0-110.9%
1-210.3%
0-08.1%
Comparable corner averages
4.74–5.16
Average total9.89
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=604.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.1%
Over 9.551.2%
Over 10.540.4%
Over 11.529.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches200
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.5%25.5%–38.2% CI
Draw FT35.0%28.7%–41.8% CI
Away FT33.5%27.3%–40.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.38
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.5%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals16.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away48.5%