Serie B · 2023/24
2024-04-27 · 15:15
12.1144.3%
X3.0131.1%
23.8024.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Cosenza
LDLWDLLDLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Bari
LLDDLLLLDL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
0.60
1.50
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.20
1H goals
0.80
1.30
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
6.70N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.60
Against
4.90
10.30
Total
9.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.60
1.50
Goals conceded
1.70
2.50
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Cosenza attack
1.00goals per matchBari conceded1.70Matchup
Bari attack
0.60goals per matchCosenza conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.30
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.60
Corners against
4.90
10.30
Match total
9.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.40N=10
For
3.10N=10
6.10
Match total
6.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.80N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
24.90
Match total
27.20
Shots
13.20N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
3.50
On target
2.80
8%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches398
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.3%43.0%-1.4 pp
Draw31.1%34.9%+3.9 pp
Away24.6%22.1%-2.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.565.1%
Over 2.535.4%
Over 3.518.3%
BTTS48.0%
Historical average
1.27–0.94
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.8%
1-015.1%
0-012.3%
2-09.0%
2-18.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.19–4.09
Average total9.28
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=398.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.3%
Over 9.545.5%
Over 10.532.2%
Over 11.522.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches170
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.1%30.2%–44.5% CI
Draw FT48.2%40.8%–55.7% CI
Away FT14.7%10.2%–20.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.18
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.2%
2+ goals34.7%
3+ goals8.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home57.6%
Away38.8%