Serie B · 2023/24
2024-04-27 · 13:00
11.3668.7%
X4.9418.9%
27.5812.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Parma
DDWDWWDWLW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Lecco
DLDLLLDLLD
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.90
1.30
Conceded
2.30
50%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.20
1.70
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
5.40N=10
3.70
Against
5.20
10.20
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.90
1.30
Goals conceded
2.30
3.10
Total goals
3.20
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Parma attack

1.80goals per match
Lecco conceded2.30
Matchup

Lecco attack

0.90goals per match
Parma conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.20
10.20
Match total
10.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.70
Match total
5.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
24.30
Match total
26.60

Shots

17.70N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
5.80
On target
3.90
10%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches121
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home68.7%79.3%+10.6 pp
Draw18.9%11.6%-7.4 pp
Away12.3%9.1%-3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.564.5%
Over 3.537.2%
BTTS46.3%

Historical average

2.530.72

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-014.0%
2-113.2%
1-012.4%
3-09.9%
4-06.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.933.44
Average total10.36

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=121.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.8%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.547.1%
Over 11.540.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches30
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT63.3%45.5%–78.1% CI
Draw FT20.0%9.5%–37.3% CI
Away FT16.7%7.3%–33.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.73

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.7%
2+ goals53.3%
3+ goals26.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home76.7%
Away26.7%