Serie B · 2023/24
2024-04-27 · 13:00
11.8849.6%
X3.1829.3%
24.4421.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Modena
WDLWDDLLDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Sudtirol
LWLDWDDLLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.30
1.30
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.10
1.00
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
3.40N=10
3.50
Against
5.30
9.50
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.30
1.30
Goals conceded
1.50
2.50
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Modena attack

1.20goals per match
Sudtirol conceded1.50
Matchup

Sudtirol attack

1.30goals per match
Modena conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.30
9.50
Match total
8.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.10N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.70
Match total
5.40
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.30N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
28.90
Match total
28.80

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
4.70
On target
3.20
9%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches173
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.6%52.6%+3.0 pp
Draw29.3%33.5%+4.2 pp
Away21.0%13.9%-7.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.518.5%
BTTS47.4%

Historical average

1.470.79

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-016.2%
1-115.6%
0-012.1%
2-011.6%
2-111.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.463.68
Average total9.13

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=173.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.1%
Over 9.545.7%
Over 10.532.9%
Over 11.520.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches57
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.6%33.4%–58.4% CI
Draw FT43.9%31.8%–56.7% CI
Away FT10.5%4.9%–21.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.05

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal63.2%
2+ goals28.1%
3+ goals14.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.1%
Away26.3%