Serie B · 2023/24
2024-04-27 · 13:00
12.5736.4%
X3.0031.2%
22.8832.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brescia
WWLDWDWDWD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Spezia
LWLLWDDDDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
1.70
30%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.90
Against
6.30
9.10
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
1.70
2.40
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Brescia attack

1.60goals per match
Spezia conceded1.70
Matchup

Spezia attack

0.90goals per match
Brescia conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.90
Corners against
6.30
9.10
Match total
10.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.20
Match total
6.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
16.80N=10
26.80
Match total
30.60

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
4.00
On target
3.40
12%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches613
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.4%34.1%-2.3 pp
Draw31.2%36.7%+5.5 pp
Away32.5%29.2%-3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.2%
Over 2.537.0%
Over 3.517.8%
BTTS48.8%

Historical average

1.131.07

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.6%
0-012.9%
1-011.6%
0-19.3%
2-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.054.47
Average total9.52

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=612.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.549.5%
Over 10.537.3%
Over 11.528.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches228
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.2%21.8%–33.3% CI
Draw FT50.9%44.4%–57.3% CI
Away FT21.9%17.0%–27.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.10

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.4%
2+ goals33.8%
3+ goals8.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.1%
Away41.7%