Serie B · 2023/24
2024-04-20 · 15:15
12.4238.6%
X3.1729.5%
22.9331.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spezia
LWDLDWLWWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Sampdoria
WLWLWLWWWD
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.80
1.10
Conceded
1.60
30%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.50
1.10
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.70
Against
4.60
10.40
Total
7.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.80
1.10
Goals conceded
1.60
2.30
Total goals
3.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Spezia attack

1.20goals per match
Sampdoria conceded1.60
Matchup

Sampdoria attack

1.80goals per match
Spezia conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
4.70
Corners against
4.60
10.40
Match total
7.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
3.60N=10
5.80
Match total
6.70
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

16.50N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
29.60
Match total
28.20

Shots

14.30N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
4.00
On target
3.50
8%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches697
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.6%39.5%+0.8 pp
Draw29.5%31.9%+2.4 pp
Away31.9%28.7%-3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.539.0%
Over 3.522.4%
BTTS47.3%

Historical average

1.241.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.5%
1-012.2%
0-010.5%
0-19.5%
2-08.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.234.68
Average total9.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=697.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.552.2%
Over 10.540.5%
Over 11.529.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches255
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.6%23.4%–34.5% CI
Draw FT44.7%38.7%–50.8% CI
Away FT26.7%21.6%–32.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals38.8%
3+ goals12.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.4%
Away46.7%